Explanation
Reading the question: we're given an argument to pick
apart. Term matching is a good candidate for any argument, but especially
pseudo-syllogistic arguments such as this one, so we can create our filter by
looking for a mismatch of terms:
Creating a filter: the first two
rows highlight the same basic point, which is that, if the study has been
conducted in a way such that it is not representative of the population of
Patria as a whole, then the audit would be questionable. However, we've been
told that the citizens selected for the audit were selected "at random," so
they are most likely representative of the population. The most basic mismatch
is the final one: the term in the conclusion "more likely to commit tax fraud"
matches up imprecisely with the concept in the evidence "indications of
potential tax fraud." For example, maybe it's typical to demonstrate
indications of tax fraud and not commit fraud; maybe the indications are poor
predictors overall of whether these people are actually committing the tax fraud more. There's our filter.
Applying the filter: we look for an answer choice that
expresses this connection and find (B).
Logical proof: we can use the negation test to see whether
(B) is critical to the argument. What if citizens whose records have
indications of potential tax fraud are not
at all more likely to commit tax fraud? Indeed, then the argument
collapses, the higher incidence of these indications then would not constitute
evidence of a higher rate of tax fraud in any group. The correct answer is (B).
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