Likely Tax Fraud

Welcome! You are encouraged to register with the site and login (for free). When you register, you support the site and your question history is saved.

A study this year found that, among citizens of Patria whose tax reports were selected at random for an audit, 21% had prepared their taxes with the assistance of a tax accountant. However, among those whose audits uncovered indications of potential tax fraud, only 3% had prepared their taxes with the assistance of a tax accountant. Clearly, citizens of Patria who prepare their taxes without the assistance of a tax accountant are more likely to commit tax fraud.

The conclusion drawn above depends on which of the following assumptions?

Review: Likely Tax Fraud


Explanation

Reading the question: we're given an argument to pick apart. Term matching is a good candidate for any argument, but especially pseudo-syllogistic arguments such as this one, so we can create our filter by looking for a mismatch of terms:



Creating a filter: the first two rows highlight the same basic point, which is that, if the study has been conducted in a way such that it is not representative of the population of Patria as a whole, then the audit would be questionable. However, we've been told that the citizens selected for the audit were selected "at random," so they are most likely representative of the population. The most basic mismatch is the final one: the term in the conclusion "more likely to commit tax fraud" matches up imprecisely with the concept in the evidence "indications of potential tax fraud." For example, maybe it's typical to demonstrate indications of tax fraud and not commit fraud; maybe the indications are poor predictors overall of whether these people are actually committing the tax fraud more. There's our filter.

Applying the filter: we look for an answer choice that expresses this connection and find (B).

Logical proof: we can use the negation test to see whether (B) is critical to the argument. What if citizens whose records have indications of potential tax fraud are not at all more likely to commit tax fraud? Indeed, then the argument collapses, the higher incidence of these indications then would not constitute evidence of a higher rate of tax fraud in any group. The correct answer is (B).


If you believe you have found an error in this question or explanation, please contact us and include the question title or URL in your message.