Oil Projection

Welcome! You are encouraged to register with the site and login (for free). When you register, you support the site and your question history is saved.

Last year, Energy Corp's oil sales increased suddenly in the region of lower Ossamia. The Chief Financial Officer of the company explained this increase as the result of industrialization in the developing Ossamian nation of Kokua. He predicts that, consequently, trade made possible by industrialization will grow between Kokua and its Ossamian neighbors this year, leading to further increases in Energy Corp sales in the region.

Each of the following, if true, provides some support for the CFO's prediction described above EXCEPT:

Review: Oil Projection


Explanation

Reading the question: we review the prompt, which contains a causal argument and also a prediction. The easiest thing to do will be to strengthen and/or weaken the prediction using the most common error of causation, introducing a new, real, cause. The question is whether X really causes Y, where X is industrialization in the country and Y is an increase in oil sales.

Applying the filter: (A) doesn't even concern the relevant countries, so it's not a strengthener and may be the correct answer. Choice (B) sounds like industrialization, which would make it a mild strengthener as the cause of oil sales, and hence not the answer. Choice (C) is a mild strengthener--few restrictions will allow oil sales to grow freely. Choice (D) is a strengthener, because it will help establish that Energy Corp and not its competitors will be able to reap benefits. Choice (E) is a mild strengthener, because it suggests there is a buyer of the oil. The correct answer is (A).  


If you believe you have found an error in this question or explanation, please contact us and include the question title or URL in your message.