Explanation
Reading the question: this prompt presents a fairly weak
argument; the many vulnerabilities are potentially distracting. But we are
asked something rather specific: which strategy will maximize profits in the
new policy. It looks like we might be able to largely ignore the conclusion of
the argument and focus on a critical detail. It's a perfect example of why we
should keep an eye on the question stem while digesting the prompt.
Creating a filter: the phrase "most likely" is a case of
logical understatement in the argument. We can prove by stronger terms and look
for what's critical. That's
maximizing profits. Profits are revenues minus costs, so our strategy will
maximize profits and/or minimize costs. A fact is that the drivers are elderly
and accident-having. They sound expensive to insure, but we can't change that
parameter. We can at least hope they have minimal accidents. Let's take that
prediction as our filter to the answer choices.
Applying the filter: Our prediction exists in the form of
answer choice (B). Choices (C) and (D) argue with the facts: this policy is for
elderly drivers. Choice (A) describes an option that will cost more than (B),
since Nationside will have to pay out more to cover
accidents, so it's only better if we can jack up the revenues in (A) much
higher than in (B). But the second sentence of the argument implies that we
can't do that. So (A) is objectively inferior to (B) and is out. Choice (E) is
similar to (A): if the drivers were rejected by other policies, it's probably
because they are more expensive. Or, if that's outside knowledge that we're not
supposed to bring to bear on this question, (E) is simply irrelevant. The
correct answer is (B).
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