Consumer Confidence Index VI

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     The stock market tends to move in response to the release of the U.S. consumer confidence index (CCI) each month, signaling that individuals make investment decisions on the basis of this information. Such a behavior is mostly irrational. The CCI is generally agreed to be a lagging indicator; by the time the CCI has been released, the stock market should have already reflected the latest adjustments to its prices based on consumer sentiment. Furthermore, the CCI, to the degree that it reflects on the stock market, reflects only on the stock market as a whole, not on individual stocks. The questions that make up the CCI, indeed, gauge individual levels of confidence about factors, such as employment rates, that should have little direct bearing on most individual stocks relative to other factors. To dampen the influence of the CCI on the stock market, the Conference Board, the nonprofit group that reveals the information each month, should adjust its timetable in order to publish the CCI outside of stock market hours. In that case, the impact of the CCI on stock market prices will be smoothed and is more likely to reflect individual investors' business estimates and not their animal whims.

In the context of the passage, the phrase in the highlighted text most closely corresponds to which of the following phrases?

Review: Consumer Confidence Index VI


Explanation

In this question, if we have the author's main point in mind, we are immediately drawn to answer choice (A). This choice is in fact correct. The point here is that, if and since individual investors do make decisions on the basis of the CCI, then the CCI and what it measures will have some impact on stocks as a result of the irrational behavior--but it would not and should not, if the irrational behavior didn't happen.

The correct answer is (A).


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